Antick.io
BeginnerReading The Signals

Score, confidence and Risk & Stability

How strong is a read, and how much should you trust it? Three numbers answer that.

6 min read
1

Confidence and the confidence tier

Every read carries a confidence percentage and a tier: High, Medium or Low. Confidence tells you how clearly the data matches the label. A Low tier means the engine sees the regime only weakly.

Low confidence is shown as it is. It is a real reading, not an error, and it should be read as tentative.

2

Market State Overview

On the Metrics Breakdown page, Market State Overview shows the overall score on a gauge, the upside and downside percentages, and the labels for trend, range, volatility and pressure.

Market State Overview and Risk & Stability on the Metrics Breakdown page.
3

Risk & Stability

Risk & Stability scores the read out of 100 and breaks it into three bars. Stability shows how steady the state has been, signal quality shows how clean the evidence is, and risk shows how much could go wrong.

4

Putting the numbers together

The strongest reads combine a clear regime, high confidence, good signal quality and stable state. A dramatic label with low confidence and low signal quality is the weakest kind of read, however exciting it sounds.

Confidence is not probability of profitA high-confidence read means the data clearly fits the label. It does not mean price will move in your favour.